Dear Madame/Sir Making…

Dear Madame/Sir

Making changes to the wild Black Bear population by the introduction of hunting is a potentially risky business for the existing Bear population. Animal populations reach a stable threshold based upon a very tricky to predetermine set of circumstances and any artificial fluctuation in their population can result in a rapid and runaway spiral downwards as the point at which population stabilizes is a narrow window of opportunity for the entire existing population.

If the population were suddenly artificially reduced below a certain point, there is a very good chance that it could result in the population falling below the threshold that iteratively results in a stable population model over time.

With any sudden fluctuation in population, the effects upon population change over the course of years can shrink or grow before stabilizing again although if the population falls past a certain threshold, the possibility of a permanent reduction in their overall population is a very likely possibility. Playing these numbers with an animal population is a very risky proposition. Easily as risky as it would be to other animals in the biosphere if their population were to explode, which is highly unlikely as it has already settled into a cycle of stability given the fact that the rules governing hunting have not been changed for some time, therefore, there are few factors outside of their existing biome that affect their population.

Placing these Bears in the risk of sudden population decline as a result of resuming the regular hunting season could spiral out of control and potentially eradicate their population below the stability maintaining threshold leaving Ontario with far less or even no Black Bear population.

Please understand that it is very risky to play with these numbers where it involves the living nature of a population at risk.